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Malmo FF vs Kalmar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Botheim E.
32'
47'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Malmo FF
20%
Draws
23%
Kalmar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Malmo FF have won more games recently than Kalmar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 18%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Kalmar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
Mar 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
May 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
5:0
Oct 8, 2023 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Botheim E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 31 / 100
Kalmar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Kalmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Kalmar conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Malmo FF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Kalmar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
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Kalmar

(Away)
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Aug
Angelholm
0 : 7
Kalmar
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