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Malmo FF vs Kalmar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Botheim E.
32'
47'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Malmo FF
39%
Draws
31%
Kalmar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Malmo FF average 2.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Kalmar's 1.38.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 15%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Kalmar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
Mar 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
May 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
5:0
Oct 8, 2023 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Botheim E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 30 / 100
Kalmar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Kalmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Malmo FF remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kalmar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Kalmar
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
30 May
Malmo FF
5 : 2
Halmstad
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Kalmar

(Away)
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
27 Jun
Kalmar
2 : 0
Brommapojkarna
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