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Stadium Background

Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ekong E.
30'
Sub
Sigurdsson A. In: Skogmar A.
Out: Sigurdsson A.
46'
Sub
Olsen R. In: Ellborg M.
Out: Olsen R.

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Malmo FF
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Prague lately — more wins on the board than Malmo FF.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Malmo FF taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sparta Prague have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 15%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Sparta Prague
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague
1:0
Jan 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague
1:3
Aug 27, 2024 Champions League
Sparta Prague vs Malmo FF
2:0
Aug 21, 2024 Champions League
Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague
0:2
Feb 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekong E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sparta Prague Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 84 / 100
Sparta Prague 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Malmo FF stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sparta Prague's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Sparta Prague
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
30 May
Malmo FF
5 : 2
Halmstad
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Sparta Prague

(Away)
25 Jul
Brno
3 : 1
Sparta Prague
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
5 : 1
Sparta Prague
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
11 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 0
Gamba Osaka
04 Jul
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Opava
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