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Malosiste vs Radnicki Pirot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malosiste host Radnicki Pirot in the Srpska Liga - East. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Malosiste have averaged 1.63 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Radnicki Pirot's 1.91 scored and 1.91 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.75 - 2.00) back Radnicki Pirot to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Malosiste
15%
Draws
46%
Radnicki Pirot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Radnicki Pirot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Radnicki Pirot come out ahead of Malosiste on wins alone.
  • Model gives Malosiste a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Malosiste Clean Sheet 10%
Radnicki Pirot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malosiste Radnicki Pirot
Matches Played 8 33
Wins 3 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malosiste 34 / 100
Radnicki Pirot 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malosiste Radnicki Pirot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malosiste found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Defensive concern: Radnicki Pirot conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Malosiste remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Radnicki Pirot has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malosiste VS Radnicki Pirot
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malosiste

(Home)
03 Oct
Djerdap
0 : 1
Malosiste
27 Sept
Malosiste
4 : 2
Morava Cuprija
20 Sept
Radnicki Svilajnac
4 : 2
Malosiste
13 Sept
Malosiste
3 : 5
Brzi Brod
05 Sept
Timocanin
1 : 0
Malosiste
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Radnicki Pirot

(Away)
03 Oct
Radnicki Pirot
0 : 0
Trayal Krusevac
26 Sept
Sloga Leskovac
3 : 2
Radnicki Pirot
20 Sept
Radnicki Pirot
2 : 1
Vlasina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
06 Sept
Radnicki Pirot
2 : 0
Sindjelic
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