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Malta vs Turkmenistan Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2024 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
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Malta

Thu, Oct 10, 2024
VS
05:00 PM
Turkmenistan Logo

Turkmenistan

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malta host Turkmenistan in the Friendly International 2024. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Malta at 0.86 goals for, 1.82 against; Turkmenistan at 0.88 for, 1.65 against. Past meetings favor Malta slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.62) point toward Malta. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Malta
15%
Draws
32%
Turkmenistan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malta lately — more wins on the board than Turkmenistan.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Malta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Malta Clean Sheet 14%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malta Turkmenistan
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.86 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Malta vs Turkmenistan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malta 39 / 100
Turkmenistan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malta Turkmenistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkmenistan has conceded goals in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Malta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Turkmenistan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malta scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Malta VS Turkmenistan
1 Goals Scored 0.86
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Malta

(Home)
01 Oct
Malta
1 : 1
Gibraltar
27 Sept
Malta
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
24 Sept
Andorra
1 : 2
Malta
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
01 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 1
Malta
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Turkmenistan

(Away)
31 Mar
Thailand
2 : 1
Turkmenistan
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
05 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2
Oman
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