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Malveira vs Industria

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Evora M.
19' Event
Seidi I.
47' Event
Blackwell Z.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Malveira and Industria finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malveira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Malveira
35%
Draws
26%
Industria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Malveira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Malveira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Malveira a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Malveira Clean Sheet 68%
Industria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malveira Industria
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Industria
4:2
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Malveira
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malveira Compare

Top Goalscorer Evora M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seidi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1.01

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 77 / 100
Industria 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malveira Industria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Industria has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Malveira's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Malveira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS Industria
1.75 Goals Scored 0.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Malveira
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
10 May
Malveira
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
03 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Malveira
Page 1 of 7

Industria

(Away)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)