Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malveira vs Juv. Evora

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Malveira Logo

Malveira

0 - 0
FT
Juv. Evora Logo

Juv. Evora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Malveira and Juv. Evora finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Malveira
30%
Draws
47%
Juv. Evora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Juv. Evora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juv. Evora are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Malveira Clean Sheet 12%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malveira Juv. Evora
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Malveira
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Juv. Evora
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 19 / 100
Juv. Evora 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malveira Juv. Evora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malveira's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Juv. Evora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Malveira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS Juv. Evora
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
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Juv. Evora

(Away)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)