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Malveira vs Os Marialvas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Estadio das Seixas, Malveira
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Coelho J.

AI Match Summary

Os Marialvas in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Os Marialvas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Malveira
35%
Draws
34%
Os Marialvas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Os Marialvas lately — more wins on the board than Malveira.
  • Win probability leans Malveira's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Malveira Clean Sheet 68%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malveira Os Marialvas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Malveira vs Os Marialvas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malveira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Os Marialvas Compare

Top Goalscorer Coelho J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 59 / 100
Os Marialvas 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malveira Os Marialvas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malveira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malveira has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Malveira scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Os Marialvas conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS Os Marialvas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
01 Nov
Malveira
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
25 Oct
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Malveira
11 Oct
Malveira
3 : 1
Fazendense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
Page 1 of 6

Os Marialvas

(Away)
01 Nov
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
25 Oct
Fazendense
1 : 2
Os Marialvas
16 Oct
Chaves
2 : 1
Os Marialvas
11 Oct
Os Marialvas
0 : 0
Sertanense
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)