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Malveira vs SB Castelo Branco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Estadio das Seixas, Malveira
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
38' Event
47' Event

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Malveira and SB Castelo Branco finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Malveira
35%
Draws
28%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Malveira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Malveira haven't matched SB Castelo Branco's recent run of results.
  • Malveira are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malveira Clean Sheet 15%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malveira SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Malveira vs SB Castelo Branco
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 75 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malveira SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malveira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Malveira went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Malveira's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: SB Castelo Branco conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS SB Castelo Branco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malveira

(Home)
01 Nov
Malveira
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
25 Oct
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Malveira
11 Oct
Malveira
3 : 1
Fazendense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
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SB Castelo Branco

(Away)
01 Nov
Malveira
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
25 Oct
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
O Elvas CAD
11 Oct
Mortagua FC
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)