Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Malveira

4 - 1

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Our Tip

Match Events

Vilela T.

48'

Tavares W.

50'

Correia R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malveira in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malveira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Malveira

Draws

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malveira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira haven't matched Malveira's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Malveira taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Malveira Clean Sheet 68%

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Malveira	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	3
Draws	10	11
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.63	0.57
Goals Conceded	1	3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Malveira vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Malveira

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malveira Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilela T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tavares W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malveira 95 / 100

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Malveira Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Malveira scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Malveira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malveira VS Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

1.63 Goals Scored 0.57

1 Goals Conceded 3

63% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 71%

25% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Louletano	26	14	8	4	36:15	50
2	Malveira	26	13	8	5	38:23	47
3	Alverca B	26	14	5	7	49:32	47
4	Juv. Evora	26	12	10	4	36:23	46
5	GD Alcochetense	26	11	8	7	33:22	41
6	Sintrense	26	11	7	8	30:25	40
7	Lagoa	26	11	6	9	44:34	39
8	O Elvas CAD	26	9	7	10	33:29	34
9	Serpa	26	9	7	10	28:34	34
10	Oriental	26	7	11	8	29:35	32
11	Moncarapachense	26	7	10	9	21:21	31
12	Portimonense B	26	6	4	16	19:42	22
13	Industria	26	2	8	16	20:45	14
14	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	26	1	11	14	20:56	14