Sport Picks
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Gomora United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Africa
Nedbank Cup Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria 
Match Events
41'
41'
Shalulile P.
Assist: Lethlaku K.
45'
45'
Maoke M. W.
61'
61'
Morena T.
Assist: Adams J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mamelodi Sundowns
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Mamelodi Sundowns carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mamelodi Sundowns a 43% chance of winning this.
- Mamelodi Sundowns have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet 68%
Gomora United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Gomora United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.55 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2026 Nedbank Cup
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Gomora United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mamelodi Sundowns Compare
Top Goalscorer Shalulile P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morena T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.78
Gomora United Compare
Top Goalscorer Maoke M. W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mamelodi Sundowns 77 / 100
Gomora United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mamelodi Sundowns Gomora United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mamelodi Sundowns scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Mamelodi Sundowns remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Gomora United conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Mamelodi Sundowns VS Gomora United
2.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Mamelodi Sundowns
(Home) 19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
12 Sept
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
09 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 : 0 Siwelele
06 Sept
Golden Arrows
1 : 2 Mamelodi Sundowns
02 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 0 Milford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
09 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 : 0 Siwelele
02 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 0 Milford
26 Aug
Mamelodi Sundowns
5 : 2 AmaZulu
23 Aug
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 : 1 Golden Arrows
Page 1 of 4
Gomora United
(Away) 18 Sept
Highbury
0 : 0 Gomora United
12 Sept
Gomora United
2 : 4 Leicesterford City
06 Sept
The Bees
0 : 1 Gomora United
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0 Venda
22 Aug
Hungry Lions
2 : 2 Gomora United
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Highbury
0 : 0 Gomora United
06 Sept
The Bees
0 : 1 Gomora United
22 Aug
Hungry Lions
2 : 2 Gomora United
17 May
Real Native
3 : 1 Gomora United
03 May
Cape Town City
4 : 0 Gomora United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Marumo Gallants -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
The Bees 0
Gomora United 1
Cardinals -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksa Spears -
Vasco Da Gama -
TBD -
TBD -
Luthuli Brigades -
Hungry Lions 2
Venda 1
Leicesterford City 1
Pretoria U. 2
Kruger United 0
Highbury 3
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
SSU M-17 -
TBD -
Milford 2
Baroka 0
Mkhambathi -
TBD -
Lerumo Lions 1
Midlands Wanderers 0
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Orbit College -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Cape Town City 0
Upington City 1
TBD -
Magesi -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Siwelele -
TBD -
TBD -
Richards Bay -
Army Rocket -
TBD -
Black Leopards 0
Real Native 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Gomora United 1
Cardinals 2
Jacksa Spears 4
Vasco Da Gama 4
Luthuli Brigades 1
Hungry Lions 1
Pretoria U. 2
Highbury 0
Sekhukhune 1
SSU M-17 1
Milford 2
Mkhambathi 2
Lerumo Lions 1
Golden Arrows 3
Orbit College 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Upington City 1
Magesi 0
Durban City 1
Chippa Utd. 0
Polokwane City 1
AmaZulu 2
Siwelele 3
Richards Bay 4
Army Rocket 0
Real Native 3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 1
Orlando Pirates 4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Jacksa Spears 1
Vasco Da Gama 0
Pretoria U. 0
Sekhukhune 1
Milford 3
Mkhambathi 0
Golden Arrows 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Upington City 0
Durban City 1
AmaZulu 1
Richards Bay 0
Real Native 1
Orlando Pirates 0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Jacksa Spears 0
Sekhukhune 2
Milford 3
Golden Arrows 1
Durban City 2
AmaZulu 1
Real Native 2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Milford 1
Durban City 1
Real Native 0
Final
TS Galaxy 1
Durban City 2
