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Mamore vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Tue, Nov 21, 2023
3 - 2
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mamore in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mamore
39%
Draws
31%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani-MG average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Mamore's 0.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Guarani-MG
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 16 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
3:2
Nov 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:2
Feb 29, 2020 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 31 / 100
Guarani-MG 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Guarani-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Guarani-MG let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Mamore went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mamore's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Guarani-MG
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3