Sport Picks

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Mamore vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Tue, Nov 21, 2023
3 - 2
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mamore in this Mineiro 3 2023 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mamore
20%
Draws
40%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guarani-MG have won more games recently than Mamore.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Guarani-MG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani-MG, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Guarani-MG
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 14 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
3:2
Nov 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:2
Feb 29, 2020 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 32 / 100
Guarani-MG 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Guarani-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Guarani-MG let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Mamore went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mamore scored in 54% of their last 39 games.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Guarani-MG
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
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Guarani-MG

(Away)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce 1
Contagem 0
Pocos de Caldas 1
America TO 5
Mamore 3
Araxa 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Guarani-MG 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 4
America TO 3
Mamore 5
Guarani-MG 4
Final
Valeriodoce 2
Mamore 3