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Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional Uberaba in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mamore
22%
Draws
18%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mamore lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Uberaba.
  • Model gives Mamore a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 42 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 16 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:0
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:2
Mar 1, 2014 Mineiro 2
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:2
Feb 5, 2014 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 58 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Nacional Uberaba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Mamore has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mamore scored in 57% of their last 42 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Nacional Uberaba
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.6
38% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
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