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Mamore vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Xavier Boy L. A.
30' Event
Araujo J.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Pereira Silva M.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2024 game between Mamore and Varginha finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mamore
35%
Draws
37%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mamore come out ahead of Varginha on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mamore have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mamore Clean Sheet 13%
Varginha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mamore Varginha
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.92 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Varginha
1:1
May 23, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Mamore
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Varginha
3:2
May 4, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Mamore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonatha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinheiro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Varginha Compare

Top Goalscorer Xavier Boy L. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira Silva M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamore 35 / 100
Varginha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mamore Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mamore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mamore found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (39 games).

Scoring Trends

Mamore VS Varginha
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamore

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 8

Varginha

(Away)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 10 3 5 2 8:7 14
2 Aymores 10 3 4 3 9:9 13
3 Valeriodoce 10 2 7 1 10:8 13
4 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 6 2 14:11 12
5 Democrata SL 10 2 6 2 9:6 12
6 Tupi-MG 10 2 4 4 5:14 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 URT 10 5 4 1 12:7 19
2 North Esporte Clube 10 6 0 4 9:6 18
3 Mamore 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Caldense 10 2 5 3 6:7 11
5 Varginha 10 1 5 4 7:10 8
6 Boa 10 1 5 4 8:13 8
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)