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Manacor vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Frau S.
45' Event
Riera S.
48' Event
Frau S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Manacor and Constancia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Manacor
20%
Draws
38%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manacor come out ahead of Constancia on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Manacor Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manacor Constancia
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.91 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Constancia
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Manacor
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Constancia
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Manacor
1:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Constancia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Frau S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Riera S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manacor 26 / 100
Constancia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manacor Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Manacor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Constancia let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Manacor VS Constancia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manacor

(Home)
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
Page 1 of 7

Constancia

(Away)
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)