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Manama Club vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Matouti E.
90' Event
Tales

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Manama Club
30%
Draws
34%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manama Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Najma has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Manama Club.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Manama Club.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Manama Club Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manama Club Al-Najma
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 2 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Manama Club
3:2
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al-Najma
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Manama Club
1:2
May 9, 2024 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Manama Club
1:4
Dec 19, 2023 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al-Najma
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manama Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Tales
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Matouti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manama Club 36 / 100
Al-Najma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manama Club Al-Najma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manama Club scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Al-Najma let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Manama Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al-Najma lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manama Club VS Al-Najma
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22163354:1751
2Al Khalidiyah22133640:2642
3Sitra22108433:2138
4Al Riffa22115639:2738
5Al-Shabbab2279623:2330
6Malkia22610623:2728
7Al-Ahli22831132:3527
8Al-Najma2276929:2927
9Bahrain SC22651127:4123
10Ali CSC22651126:3723
11East Riffa22481021:3120
12Manama Club22271315:4813