Sport Picks

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Manauara vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2024
Manauara Logo

Manauara

8 - 0
FT
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Logo

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Junior Palmares
24' Event
China
31' Event
Paulinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manauara in this Amazonense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manauara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Manauara
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manauara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manauara have won more games recently than Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).
  • Manauara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Manauara have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Manauara Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manauara Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Matches Played 43 36
Wins 23 16
Draws 14 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.84 2
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Amazonense
Manauara vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
8:0
Mar 19, 2023 Amazonense
Manauara vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:0
Mar 15, 2023 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Manauara
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Manauara
0:3
Oct 30, 2021 Amazonense 2
Manauara vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manauara Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Junior Palmares
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manauara 95 / 100
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manauara Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manauara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Manauara scored in 79% of their last 43 games.

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manauara VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manauara

(Home)
12 Jul
Manauara
1 : 3
Goiatuba EC
04 Jul
Goiatuba EC
0 : 1
Manauara
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

(Away)
22 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1 : 4
Princesa do Solimoes
19 Mar
Parintins
7 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
16 Mar
Manauara
8 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
10 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 4
Sao Raimundo AM
06 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manaus FC 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 Amazonas 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
4 Unidos do Alvorada 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Operario Esporte Clube 4 0 1 3 4:13 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 4 2 2 0 10:1 8
2 Princesa do Solimoes 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
3 Parintins 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Sao Raimundo AM 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 4 0 0 4 3:23 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)