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Manaus FC vs Parintins

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Arena da Amazonia, Manaus
Sat, Mar 7, 2026
1 - 2
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Leo Bahia
90' Event
Willian Anicete
1' Event
David Luis
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Parintins in this Amazonense tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manaus FC
39%
Draws
30%
Parintins
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manaus FC lately — more wins on the board than Parintins.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Manaus FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Manaus FC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Manaus FC Clean Sheet 20%
Parintins Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manaus FC Parintins
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
1:2
Jan 13, 2026 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
3:2
Apr 7, 2024 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Parintins
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manaus FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Parintins Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Anicete
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manaus FC 32 / 100
Parintins 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manaus FC Parintins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manaus FC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Parintins has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Manaus FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manaus FC VS Parintins
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manaus FC

(Home)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
31 May
Manaus FC
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
24 May
Manauara
1 : 1
Manaus FC
17 May
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Manaus FC
09 May
Manaus FC
0 : 2
Monte Roraima
Page 1 of 8

Parintins

(Away)
14 Mar
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 : 0
Parintins
07 Mar
Manaus FC
1 : 2
Parintins
04 Mar
Parintins
2 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
01 Mar
Parintins
0 : 0
Amazonas
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Manauara-
TBD-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Amazonas0
Manaus FC-
TBD-
Parintins2
Princesa do Solimoes0
Semi-finals
Manauara0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Manaus FC1
Parintins2
Final
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Parintins0