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Manaus W vs Tuna Luso W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
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Match Events

45' Event
Oliveira S.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 game between Manaus W and Tuna Luso W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manaus W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Manaus W
15%
Draws
32%
Tuna Luso W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manaus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuna Luso W come out ahead of Manaus W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Manaus W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Manaus W Clean Sheet 10%
Tuna Luso W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manaus W Tuna Luso W
Matches Played 18 21
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 3.78 3.76
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Manaus W vs Tuna Luso W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manaus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tuna Luso W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manaus W 83 / 100
Tuna Luso W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manaus W Tuna Luso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manaus W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manaus W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Defensive concern: Tuna Luso W conceded in 62% of 21 recent games.

Manaus W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Tuna Luso W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manaus W VS Tuna Luso W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manaus W

(Home)
14 Sept
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Manaus W
23 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 3
Manaus W
19 Aug
Manaus W
5 : 1
Amazonas Legis W
14 Aug
Manaus W
13 : 1
Manicore W
10 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 1
Manaus W
Page 1 of 4

Tuna Luso W

(Away)
10 Jun
Botafogo RJ W
2 : 1
Tuna Luso W
29 May
Tuna Luso W
2 : 1
Cresspom W
25 May
Atletico-PI W
3 : 2
Tuna Luso W
17 May
Tuna Luso W
0 : 4
Atletico-PI W
12 May
Sao Raimundo RR W
1 : 2
Tuna Luso W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galvez W 3 3 0 0 9:4 9
2 Rolim de Moura W 3 1 1 1 12:3 4
3 Taruma W 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Recanto W 3 0 0 3 2:21 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Operario MS W 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Cresspom W 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
4 Várzea Grande EC W 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perolas Negras W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Itabirito W 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Realidade Jovem W 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
4 Pinda Ferroviaria W 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coritiba W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Brasil de Farroupilha W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Criciuma W 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Toledo W 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga AP W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Tuna Luso W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Sao Raimundo RR W 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Manaus W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Ceara W 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Uniao RN W 3 1 0 2 7:3 3
4 IAPE W 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Alagoana W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Ipojuca W 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Mixto PB W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Guarani de Paripueira W 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doce Mel W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Juventude W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Prosperidade W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Alagoinhas W 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)