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Manawatu vs Canterbury

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2012/2013
Manawatu Logo

Manawatu

0 - 2
FT
Canterbury Logo

Canterbury

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Canterbury in this Football Championship 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canterbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Manawatu
15%
Draws
59%
Canterbury
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canterbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canterbury lately — more wins on the board than Manawatu.
  • Model gives Canterbury a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Canterbury have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Manawatu Clean Sheet 20%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manawatu Canterbury
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.78
Goals Conceded 3.97 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Manawatu
4:1
Dec 9, 2012 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Canterbury
0:2
Jan 22, 2012 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Manawatu
9:1
Oct 23, 2011 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Canterbury
0:4
Jan 22, 2011 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Canterbury
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manawatu 10 / 100
Canterbury 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manawatu Canterbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Manawatu scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Manawatu went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Canterbury
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manawatu

(Home)
24 Feb
Manawatu
1 : 4
Auckland City
17 Feb
Canterbury
4 : 1
Manawatu
10 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Manawatu
03 Feb
Manawatu
0 : 6
Team Wellington
26 Jan
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Manawatu
Page 1 of 6

Canterbury

(Away)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 14 12 1 1 48:12 37
2 Auckland City 14 10 3 1 44:18 33
3 Canterbury 14 9 1 4 34:19 28
4 Hawke s Bay 14 7 3 4 29:21 24
5 Team Wellington 14 7 0 7 27:21 21
6 WaiBOP United 14 3 0 11 18:48 9
7 Southern United 14 2 0 12 14:40 6
8 Manawatu 14 2 0 12 15:50 6
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)