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Mancha vs CD Alhaurino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mancha host CD Alhaurino in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mancha at 0.9 goals for, 1.35 against; CD Alhaurino at 1.17 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Mancha slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.13) point toward CD Alhaurino. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mancha
30%
Draws
47%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Alhaurino lately — more wins on the board than Mancha.
  • Mancha are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mancha CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Mancha
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
2:4
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Mancha
0:1
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
1:1
Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mancha 36 / 100
CD Alhaurino 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mancha CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mancha scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

CD Alhaurino let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: CD Alhaurino has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mancha VS CD Alhaurino
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mancha

(Home)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 7

CD Alhaurino

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)