Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Tello A.
11'
11'
Gomez J.
59'
59'
Torres M.
AI Match Summary
Mancha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mancha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mancha haven't matched Huetor Vega's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Mancha taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Huetor Vega have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mancha Clean Sheet 68%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mancha | Huetor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Huetor Vega
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Mancha
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Huetor Vega
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Mancha
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Mancha
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mancha Compare
Top Goalscorer Tello A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Huetor Vega Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mancha 46 / 100
Huetor Vega 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mancha Huetor Vega
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Huetor Vega let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Mancha went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mancha's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mancha VS Huetor Vega
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mancha
(Home) 30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2 Mancha
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
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03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Mancha
0 : 0 Melilla B
21 Mar
Mancha
1 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
01 Mar
Mancha
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
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Huetor Vega
(Away) 10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
12 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
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03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 4 Huetor Vega
22 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 2 Huetor Vega
08 Mar
El Palo
1 : 1 Huetor Vega
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
