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Mancha vs Torre del Mar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mancha host Torre del Mar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Torre del Mar have shipped 0.76 goals a game lately, while Mancha have conceded 1.35 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Torre del Mar slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.13) back Torre del Mar to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mancha
30%
Draws
47%
Torre del Mar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torre del Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torre del Mar lately — more wins on the board than Mancha.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Torre del Mar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mancha Torre del Mar
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Torre del Mar
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mancha
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Torre del Mar
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mancha
1:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mancha
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mancha 36 / 100
Torre del Mar 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mancha Torre del Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mancha's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Torre del Mar has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Torre del Mar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mancha VS Torre del Mar
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mancha

(Home)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 7

Torre del Mar

(Away)
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)