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Manchego Ciudad Real vs Albacete B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real play Albacete B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manchego Ciudad Real averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Albacete B averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.47 conceded. In past meetings, Manchego Ciudad Real won 2, Albacete B won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Manchego Ciudad Real and 0.94 for Albacete B. This points to a Manchego Ciudad Real double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Manchego Ciudad Real
31%
Draws
33%
Albacete B
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchego Ciudad Real picked up more points recently compared to Albacete B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 24%
Albacete B Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real Albacete B
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Manchego Ciudad Real
3:0
May 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Albacete B
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Albacete B
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Albacete B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 37 / 100
Albacete B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real Albacete B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manchego Ciudad Real or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +28.5%
4.76
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manchego Ciudad Real attacking → ← attacking Albacete B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Albacete B let in goals in 35% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Albacete B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 62
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38