Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real

1 - 0

CD Guadalajara B

Our Tip

Match Events

85'

Paulinho

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Manchego Ciudad Real and CD Guadalajara B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchego Ciudad Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Manchego Ciudad Real

22%

Draws

18%

CD Guadalajara B

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Manchego Ciudad Real come out ahead of CD Guadalajara B on wins alone.
60% — that's where the model lands on Manchego Ciudad Real taking it.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%

Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%

CD Guadalajara B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Manchego Ciudad Real	CD Guadalajara B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Guadalajara B

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

CD Guadalajara B vs Manchego Ciudad Real

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Guadalajara B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 68 / 100

CD Guadalajara B 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Manchego Ciudad Real CD Guadalajara B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: CD Guadalajara B conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Manchego Ciudad Real went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchego Ciudad Real VS CD Guadalajara B

1 Goals Scored 0.75

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Puertollano C.F.	34	22	8	4	54:21	74
2	CD Tarancon	34	22	7	5	62:25	73
3	Toledo	34	19	11	4	55:17	68
4	Albacete B	34	17	13	4	49:17	64
5	Manchego Ciudad Real	34	18	7	9	52:29	61
6	Villarrubia	34	15	8	11	42:35	53
7	Villacanas	34	12	12	10	29:26	48
8	San Clemente	34	12	11	11	36:44	47
9	CD Guadalajara B	34	11	10	13	30:37	43
10	Villarrobledo	34	10	13	11	30:36	43
11	Huracan de Balazote	34	12	5	17	33:45	41
12	Illescas	34	8	13	13	21:32	37
13	Marchamalo	34	10	7	17	38:47	37
14	La Solana	34	8	11	15	26:38	35
15	Azuqueca	34	7	13	14	34:39	34
16	CD Pedroneras	34	7	12	15	28:43	33
17	Sonseca	34	5	7	22	28:69	22
18	Cazalegas	34	4	6	24	17:64	18