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Manchego Ciudad Real vs Illescas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Delgado J.
25' Event
Picazo A.
26' Event
Haro P.

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchego Ciudad Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manchego Ciudad Real
15%
Draws
34%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manchego Ciudad Real lately — more wins on the board than Illescas.
  • Manchego Ciudad Real are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%
Illescas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real Illescas
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.34 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Illescas
4:1
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Illescas
2:0
Jan 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:0
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Illescas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Picazo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Illescas Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 77 / 100
Illescas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Illescas has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Manchego Ciudad Real remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manchego Ciudad Real VS Illescas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Home)
31 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
4 : 1
Illescas
25 Oct
Villarrobledo
1 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
Toledo
11 Oct
San Clemente
3 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
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Illescas

(Away)
31 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
4 : 1
Illescas
25 Oct
Illescas
0 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
17 Oct
Villacanas
4 : 3
Illescas
11 Oct
Illescas
1 : 0
La Solana
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 9 7 0 2 14:7 21
2 Toledo 9 6 1 2 20:10 19
3 Villacanas 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
4 Villarrobledo 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
5 CD Tarancon 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 CD Villa 9 5 0 4 10:12 15
7 Torrijos 9 4 2 3 10:8 14
8 Noblejas 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
9 Illescas 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
10 Marchamalo 9 3 3 3 16:16 12
11 San Clemente 9 3 3 3 16:17 12
12 UD Almansa 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
13 Villarrubia 8 1 4 3 9:12 7
14 Socuellamos 8 1 4 3 5:8 7
15 Huracan de Balazote 9 2 1 6 8:18 7
16 La Solana 8 2 0 6 6:11 6
17 Quintanar del Rey 9 1 3 5 11:18 6
18 CD Guadalajara B 8 0 2 6 7:21 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)