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Manchego Ciudad Real vs La Roda

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Sun, May 1, 2022
3 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manchego Ciudad Real host La Roda in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022. Manchego Ciudad Real go into this one as the clear favorite. Manchego Ciudad Real have averaged 1.42 scored and 0.65 conceded recently, against La Roda's 0 scored and 3.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Manchego Ciudad Real have won 3 to La Roda's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 1, 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 0.81, favoring Manchego Ciudad Real. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Manchego Ciudad Real
15%
Draws
0%
La Roda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchego Ciudad Real have won more games recently than La Roda.
  • Model gives Manchego Ciudad Real a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54.6%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 20%
La Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real La Roda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 30
Goals Scored 1.42 0
Goals Conceded 0.65 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs La Roda
3:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:3
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:0
Dec 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs La Roda
3:0
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 85 / 100
La Roda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real La Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roda let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: La Roda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Manchego Ciudad Real scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Manchego Ciudad Real VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Home)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
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La Roda

(Away)
05 Aug
La Roda
0 : 5
Villarrobledo
01 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 0
La Roda
24 Apr
La Roda
0 : 3
Conquense
10 Apr
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Roda
03 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
3 : 0
La Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)