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Manchego Ciudad Real vs Sonseca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Guerrero A.
80' Event
Mata G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Manchego Ciudad Real and Sonseca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonseca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Manchego Ciudad Real
15%
Draws
28%
Sonseca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manchego Ciudad Real come out ahead of Sonseca on wins alone.
  • Manchego Ciudad Real are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 20%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchego Ciudad Real Sonseca
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.29 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.68 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Sonseca
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sonseca Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mata G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchego Ciudad Real 85 / 100
Sonseca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchego Ciudad Real Sonseca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonseca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Manchego Ciudad Real found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Manchego Ciudad Real remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manchego Ciudad Real VS Sonseca
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
38% Over 1.5 83%
0% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Home)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
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Sonseca

(Away)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)