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Stadium Background

Manchester City U19 vs Dortmund U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Academy Stadium, Manchester
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Degener T.
35'
Cherny N.
39'
Noble K.

AI Match Summary

Dortmund U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dortmund U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Manchester City U19
20%
Draws
46%
Dortmund U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dortmund U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchester City U19 have won more games recently than Dortmund U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Manchester City U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester City U19 Dortmund U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.43 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Manchester City U19 vs Dortmund U19
0:3
Oct 25, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Dortmund U19 vs Manchester City U19
3:3
Sep 14, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Manchester City U19 vs Dortmund U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester City U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Dortmund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tazemeta T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zarqelain F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester City U19 34 / 100
Dortmund U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester City U19 Dortmund U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester City U19 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Dortmund U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Manchester City U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchester City U19 VS Dortmund U19
2 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester City U19

(Home)
08 Sept
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Manchester City U19
04 Feb
HJK U19
4 : 3
Manchester City U19
10 Dec
Real Madrid U19
0 : 4
Manchester City U19
25 Nov
Manchester City U19
6 : 0
Leverkusen U19
05 Nov
Manchester City U19
0 : 3
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 6

Dortmund U19

(Away)
13 Sept
Dusseldorf U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
05 Sept
Dortmund U19
5 : 1
RW Essen U19
26 Aug
Duisburg U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
23 Aug
VfL Osnabruck U19
0 : 2
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)