Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manchester City U21 vs Monaco II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2025/2026
Manchester City U21 Logo

Manchester City U21

1 - 3
FT
Monaco II Logo

Monaco II

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Konate O.
Assist: Sylla M.
45' Event
Sitou K.
Assist: Wamu Oyatambwe M.
54' Event
Konate O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Monaco II in this Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Manchester City U21
15%
Draws
42%
Monaco II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Manchester City U21 have won more games recently than Monaco II.
  • Manchester City U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Manchester City U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monaco II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Manchester City U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Monaco II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester City U21 Monaco II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Manchester City U21 vs Monaco II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McAidoo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Monaco II Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sitou K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester City U21 67 / 100
Monaco II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester City U21 Monaco II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester City U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester City U21 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Monaco II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Monaco II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Manchester City U21 VS Monaco II
3.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester City U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Tottenham U21
4 : 2
Manchester City U21
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3
Manchester City U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Manchester City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4
Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6

Monaco II

(Away)
10 Feb
Wolves U21
3 : 1
Monaco II
20 Jan
Manchester City U21
1 : 3
Monaco II
19 Dec
Everton U21
2 : 1
Monaco II
02 Dec
Southampton U21
0 : 2
Monaco II
09 Aug
Monaco II
0 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
2 Real Madrid U21 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Wolves U21 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 Monaco II 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
5 Manchester City U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
6 Jong PSV 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 RB Leipzig II 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Valencia B 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 B. Monchengladbach II 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Nordsjaelland U21 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
5 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Juventus U21 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad B 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Benfica B 4 2 2 0 13:4 8
4 PSG U21 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Brighton U21 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
7 Newcastle Utd U21 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
8 Chelsea U21 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Anderlecht 2 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
6 Sporting CP B 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
7 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 West Ham U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)