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Manchester United U23 vs Arsenal U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Old Trafford, Manchester
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Patino C.
29' Event
Biereth M.
38'
Savage C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Manchester United U23 and Arsenal U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Manchester United U23
35%
Draws
30%
Arsenal U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal U23 haven't matched Manchester United U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Manchester United U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United U23 Arsenal U23
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.9 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2022 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Arsenal U23
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Manchester United U23
3:1
Feb 12, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Arsenal U23
3:0
Oct 17, 2020 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Manchester United U23
3:3
Jan 15, 2018 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Manchester United U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester United U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Emeran N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Arsenal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Biereth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United U23 31 / 100
Arsenal U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United U23 Arsenal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Arsenal U23 let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Manchester United U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United U23 VS Arsenal U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester United U23

(Home)
01 May
Liverpool U23
3 : 1
Manchester United U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0
Everton U23
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U23

(Away)
01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1
Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2
Arsenal U23
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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