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Manchester United U23 vs Arsenal U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Old Trafford
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Patino C.
29' Event
Biereth M.
38'
Savage C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Manchester United U23 and Arsenal U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manchester United U23
40%
Draws
29%
Arsenal U23
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal U23 haven't matched Manchester United U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Manchester United U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United U23 Arsenal U23
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 14
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2022 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Arsenal U23
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Manchester United U23
3:1
Feb 12, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Arsenal U23
3:0
Oct 17, 2020 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Manchester United U23
3:3
Jan 15, 2018 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Manchester United U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester United U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Emeran N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Arsenal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Biereth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United U23 31 / 100
Arsenal U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United U23 Arsenal U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Arsenal U23 let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Manchester United U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United U23 VS Arsenal U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City U2326166465:3254
2West Ham U2326153859:3948
3Arsenal U23261011556:4841
4Liverpool U2326117847:3740
5Crystal Palace U23261231154:5039
6Manchester United U2326116946:4339
7Tottenham U2326107949:4537
8Leicester U2326107938:5337
9Blackburn U232698950:5635
10Brighton U2326971041:4134
11Everton U2326851333:5429
12Chelsea U2326771239:4728
13Leeds U2326761344:4927
14Derby U2326431931:5815
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fulham U2326202464:2762
2Wolves U2326145746:3747
3Stoke City U2326127734:3643
4Nottingham U2326126852:3142
5Norwich U23261231164:5239
6Burnley U2326116946:3939
7Southampton U23261231145:4239
8Newcastle Utd U23261221251:5638
9West Brom U23261051144:5435
10Aston Villa U2326951253:5132
11Birmingham U2326751434:5126
12Middlesbrough U2326821631:5026
13Sunderland U2326731635:4924
14Reading U2326581332:5623