Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manchester United U23 vs Chelsea U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United U23 Logo

Manchester United U23

1 - 0
FT
Chelsea U23 Logo

Chelsea U23

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Shoretire S.
36' Event
Garnacho A.
Assist: Mellor D.
45'
Fish W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manchester United U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchester United U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Manchester United U23
15%
Draws
39%
Chelsea U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manchester United U23 lately — more wins on the board than Chelsea U23.
  • Win probability leans Manchester United U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Manchester United U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Chelsea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United U23 Chelsea U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2022 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Chelsea U23
1:0
Aug 20, 2021 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Manchester United U23
1:1
Apr 23, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Chelsea U23
4:2
Dec 18, 2020 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Manchester United U23
6:1
Feb 16, 2018 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Chelsea U23
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester United U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garnacho A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Chelsea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United U23 42 / 100
Chelsea U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United U23 Chelsea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Manchester United U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Chelsea U23 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Manchester United U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United U23 VS Chelsea U23
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester United U23

(Home)
01 May
Liverpool U23
3 : 1
Manchester United U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0
Everton U23
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea U23

(Away)
08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1
Tottenham U23
01 May
Blackburn U23
4 : 3
Chelsea U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2
Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0
Chelsea U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)