Sport Picks

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Manchester United vs Leeds

World World

Club Friendly Croke Park, Dublin
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
2 - 1
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Zirkzee J.
Assist: Mbeumo B.
29' Event
Aaronson B.
Assist: James D.
46'
Sub
Bijol J. In: Rodon J.
Out: Bijol J.

AI Match Summary

Manchester United in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchester United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Manchester United
35%
Draws
35%
Leeds
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manchester United lately — more wins on the board than Leeds.
  • Manchester United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Manchester United Clean Sheet 11%
Leeds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manchester United Leeds
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Manchester United vs Leeds
2:1
Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
Manchester United vs Leeds
1:2
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Manchester United
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Manchester United vs Leeds
0:0
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Manchester United vs Leeds
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manchester United Compare

Top Goalscorer Zirkzee J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leeds Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaronson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manchester United 47 / 100
Leeds 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manchester United Leeds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Leeds let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Manchester United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manchester United VS Leeds
2 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manchester United

(Home)
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1
Manchester United
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3
Brighton
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1
Manchester City
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0
Sabah Baku
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2
Manchester United
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Leeds

(Away)
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3
Leeds
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1
Leeds
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
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