Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mandurah City vs Curtin University

Australia Australia

WA State League Securitas Protect Stadium, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Stewart J.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Mandurah City and Curtin University finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curtin University.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mandurah City
6%
Draws
4%
Curtin University
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mandurah City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mandurah City come out ahead of Curtin University on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mandurah City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 20%
Curtin University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandurah City Curtin University
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 WA State League
Curtin University vs Mandurah City
3:4
May 6, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Curtin University
0:1
Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Curtin University vs Mandurah City
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 WA State League
Curtin University vs Mandurah City
1:3
Jun 7, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Curtin University
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandurah City Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Curtin University Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandurah City 85 / 100
Curtin University 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandurah City Curtin University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Curtin University let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Mandurah City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mandurah City VS Curtin University
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandurah City

(Home)
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Mandurah City
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Kingsley Westside
20 Jun
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Cockburn City
Page 1 of 6

Curtin University

(Away)
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Curtin University
0 : 4
Floreat Athena
04 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Cockburn City
27 Jun
Gwelup Croatia SC
0 : 0
Curtin University
20 Jun
Curtin University
0 : 1
Kingsley Westside
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena17123240:1739
2UWA Nedlands17112439:2235
3Mandurah City17102542:3132
4Joondalup City17101631:2531
5Inglewood Utd1783617:1827
6Kingsley Westside1781827:2425
7Gwelup Croatia SC1756625:3121
8Quinns1763822:3321
9Cockburn City1754828:3519
10Murdoch University Melville1737728:3416
11Subiaco17411228:4013
12Curtin University17231214:319
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)