Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena

Australia Australia

WA State League Securitas Protect Stadium, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Lovell S.
65' Event
Lovell S.
85' Event
Al-Zaidy M.

AI Match Summary

Mandurah City in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mandurah City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mandurah City
33%
Draws
40%
Floreat Athena
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Floreat Athena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mandurah City lately — more wins on the board than Floreat Athena.
  • Win probability leans Floreat Athena's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 11%
Floreat Athena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandurah City Floreat Athena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena
0:3
Aug 5, 2017 NPL Western Australia
Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City
0:0
Apr 22, 2017 NPL Western Australia
Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena
0:2
Jul 30, 2011 NPL Western Australia
Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovell S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Floreat Athena Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Zaidy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandurah City 27 / 100
Floreat Athena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandurah City Floreat Athena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mandurah City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Floreat Athena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mandurah City VS Floreat Athena
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandurah City

(Home)
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Mandurah City
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Kingsley Westside
20 Jun
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Cockburn City
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Floreat Athena

(Away)
18 Jul
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Quinns
11 Jul
Curtin University
0 : 4
Floreat Athena
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2
Floreat Athena
27 Jun
Floreat Athena
2 : 0
Inglewood Utd
20 Jun
Joondalup City
1 : 3
Floreat Athena
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena17123240:1739
2UWA Nedlands17112439:2235
3Mandurah City17102542:3132
4Joondalup City17101631:2531
5Inglewood Utd1783617:1827
6Kingsley Westside1781827:2425
7Gwelup Croatia SC1756625:3121
8Quinns1763822:3321
9Cockburn City1754828:3519
10Murdoch University Melville1737728:3416
11Subiaco17411228:4013
12Curtin University17231214:319
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)