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Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

WA State League Securitas Protect Stadium, Perth
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Match Events

49' Event
Lovell S.
65' Event
Lovell S.
85' Event
Al-Zaidy M.

AI Match Summary

Mandurah City in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mandurah City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mandurah City
20%
Draws
61%
Floreat Athena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floreat Athena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Floreat Athena lately — more wins on the board than Mandurah City.
  • Win probability leans Floreat Athena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 10%
Floreat Athena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandurah City Floreat Athena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.06 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 WA State League
Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City
2:1
May 30, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena
0:3
Aug 5, 2017 NPL Western Australia
Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City
0:0
Apr 22, 2017 NPL Western Australia
Mandurah City vs Floreat Athena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovell S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Floreat Athena Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Zaidy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandurah City 10 / 100
Floreat Athena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandurah City Floreat Athena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floreat Athena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Floreat Athena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mandurah City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mandurah City VS Floreat Athena
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandurah City

(Home)
12 Sept
UWA Nedlands
0 : 0
Mandurah City
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Mandurah City
08 Aug
Mandurah City
0 : 1
Quinns
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Floreat Athena

(Away)
22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4
Floreat Athena
15 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Mandurah City
08 Aug
Floreat Athena
7 : 1
Cockburn City
01 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 0
Kingsley Westside
25 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 2
Floreat Athena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)