Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mandurah City vs Joondalup City

Australia Australia

WA State League Securitas Protect Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Basile Z.
34' Event
Hadfield L.
61' Event
Hadfield L.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Mandurah City and Joondalup City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Joondalup City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mandurah City
33%
Draws
27%
Joondalup City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mandurah City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Joondalup City haven't matched Mandurah City's recent run of results.
  • Mandurah City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 14%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandurah City Joondalup City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Mandurah City
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Joondalup City
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Mandurah City
3:2
May 3, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Joondalup City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Basile Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadfield L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandurah City 39 / 100
Joondalup City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandurah City Joondalup City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Joondalup City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Mandurah City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mandurah City VS Joondalup City
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena16113238:1636
2UWA Nedlands16112338:1935
3Mandurah City1692538:2829
4Joondalup City1691628:2328
5Kingsley Westside1681726:2225
6Inglewood Utd1673614:1724
7Quinns1663721:3121
8Cockburn City1654728:3319
9Gwelup Croatia SC1646623:3118
10Murdoch University Melville1637626:3116
11Subiaco16311226:3910
12Curtin University16231111:279