Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mandurah City vs Kalamunda City

Australia Australia

WA State League 2025 Securitas Protect Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gallagher B.
30' Event
Galvin R.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Gallagher B.

AI Match Summary

Mandurah City in this WA State League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mandurah City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mandurah City
6%
Draws
4%
Kalamunda City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mandurah City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kalamunda City haven't matched Mandurah City's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mandurah City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 15%
Kalamunda City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandurah City Kalamunda City
Matches Played 36 25
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Kalamunda City
3:1
May 24, 2025 WA State League
Kalamunda City vs Mandurah City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kalamunda City Compare

Top Goalscorer Fergonzi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandurah City 84 / 100
Kalamunda City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandurah City Kalamunda City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kalamunda City conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Mandurah City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mandurah City VS Kalamunda City
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dianella White Eagle22146246:2248
2UWA Nedlands22152552:2847
3Joondalup City22116541:2639
4Kingsley Westside22107536:2437
5Murdoch University Melville2295850:4632
6Gwelup Croatia SC221021043:3932
7Mandurah City2285934:3329
8Subiaco2285933:3729
9Inglewood Utd22741129:4325
10Curtin University22631331:4621
11Kalamunda City22541323:4019
12Gosnells City22331620:5412