Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
D'Anna S.
50'
50'
Babaj D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Manfredonia haven't matched A.C.D. Nardo's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 21%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manfredonia | A.C.D. Nardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Manfredonia
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Manfredonia
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:3
Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manfredonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Babaj D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
A.C.D. Nardo Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Anna S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manfredonia 37 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manfredonia A.C.D. Nardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manfredonia scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Manfredonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
A.C.D. Nardo let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Manfredonia VS A.C.D. Nardo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Manfredonia
(Home) 03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1 Manfredonia
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26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
29 Mar
Manfredonia
1 : 2 Gravina
15 Mar
Manfredonia
3 : 1 Paganese
22 Feb
Manfredonia
2 : 0 Ferrandina
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A.C.D. Nardo
(Away) 10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0 Barletta
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Manfredonia
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
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10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
29 Mar
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
15 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
