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Manfredonia vs Angri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Coppola F.
54' Event
Casalongue O.
60' Event
Ruggiero G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Manfredonia and Angri finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manfredonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Manfredonia
20%
Draws
22%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Angri haven't matched Manfredonia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Manfredonia a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 20%
Angri Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manfredonia Angri
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 0.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Angri
3:2
Oct 9, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Manfredonia
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Manfredonia
2:2
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Angri
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Coppola F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carbonaro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Casalongue O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruggiero G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manfredonia 85 / 100
Angri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manfredonia Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angri has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Manfredonia found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Manfredonia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manfredonia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manfredonia

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
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Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)