Sport Picks
Manfredonia vs ASD Ugento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Giacobbe M.
90'
90'
Sanchez J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manfredonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- ASD Ugento haven't matched Manfredonia's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Manfredonia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 19%
ASD Ugento Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manfredonia | ASD Ugento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group H
ASD Ugento vs Manfredonia
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs ASD Ugento
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group H
ASD Ugento vs Manfredonia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manfredonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Giacobbe M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
ASD Ugento Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manfredonia 85 / 100
ASD Ugento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manfredonia ASD Ugento
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manfredonia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Manfredonia's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
ASD Ugento let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Manfredonia VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Manfredonia
(Home) 04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0 Bisceglie
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2 Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
Page 1 of 8
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0 Bisceglie
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 4
ASD Ugento
(Away) 11 May
ASD Ugento
0 : 1 Manfredonia
04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1 ASD Ugento
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4 Matera
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2 ASD Ugento
13 Apr
ASD Ugento
2 : 0 Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1 ASD Ugento
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2 ASD Ugento
06 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 0 ASD Ugento
23 Mar
Palmese 1914
2 : 0 ASD Ugento
02 Mar
Acerrana
1 : 1 ASD Ugento
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casarano | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 72:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:28 | 62 |
| 4 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:29 | 57 |
| 5 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Matera | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 51:47 | 49 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:34 | 47 |
| 8 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Ischia | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 10 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 41:45 | 42 |
| 11 | Gravina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:46 | 42 |
| 12 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 28:34 | 41 |
| 13 | Acerrana | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 14 | ASD Ugento | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:51 | 37 |
| 15 | Manfredonia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:51 | 35 |
| 16 | Brindisi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 44:43 | 27 |
| 17 | Angri | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Costa Amalfi | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:62 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)
