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Manfredonia vs Brindisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Jansen Q.
27' Event
Hernaiz Daschner L.
43'
Rajkovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Manfredonia and Brindisi finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Manfredonia
20%
Draws
36%
Brindisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Manfredonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Manfredonia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manfredonia Brindisi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.09 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Brindisi
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Manfredonia
5:0
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Manfredonia
1:1
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Brindisi
1:4
Mar 23, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Manfredonia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbonaro P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caputo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansen Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernaiz Daschner L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manfredonia 50 / 100
Brindisi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manfredonia Brindisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Manfredonia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Manfredonia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Brindisi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manfredonia VS Brindisi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Manfredonia

(Home)
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0
Bisceglie
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2
Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
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Brindisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)