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Manglerud Star vs Grei

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2016 game between Manglerud Star and Grei finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Manglerud Star
15%
Draws
26%
Grei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manglerud Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Grei carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Manglerud Star a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Manglerud Star Clean Sheet 16%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manglerud Star Grei
Matches Played 26 45
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.12 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2016 Division 3 - Group 2
Manglerud Star vs Grei
1:4
Apr 16, 2016 Division 3 - Group 2
Grei vs Manglerud Star
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manglerud Star 84 / 100
Grei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manglerud Star Grei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manglerud Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grei let in goals in 87% of their last 45 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Manglerud Star scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Manglerud Star went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grei
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Manglerud Star

(Home)
22 Oct
Manglerud Star
0 : 3
Rilindja
15 Oct
Lommedalen
1 : 2
Manglerud Star
10 Oct
Lorenskog 2
4 : 3
Manglerud Star
03 Oct
Manglerud Star
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Oslo
23 Sept
Skjetten
2 : 3
Manglerud Star
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Grei

(Away)
12 Sept
Konnerud
3 : 2
Grei
05 Sept
Grei
0 : 1
Union Carl Berner
01 Sept
Nordstrand
3 : 5
Grei
22 Aug
Grei
0 : 4
Lyn
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
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