Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mangotsfield vs Bashley

England England

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Mangotsfield advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mangotsfield
15%
Draws
49%
Bashley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bashley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Mangotsfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mangotsfield's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Mangotsfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mangotsfield, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mangotsfield have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mangotsfield Clean Sheet 20%
Bashley Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mangotsfield Bashley
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 FA Trophy
Mangotsfield vs Bashley
6:1
Jan 24, 2009 Southern Premier League
Mangotsfield vs Bashley
1:0
Aug 19, 2008 Southern Premier League
Bashley vs Mangotsfield
0:1
Apr 19, 2008 Southern Premier League
Bashley vs Mangotsfield
1:0
Aug 21, 2007 Southern Premier League
Mangotsfield vs Bashley
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mangotsfield 58 / 100
Bashley 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mangotsfield Bashley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mangotsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bashley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mangotsfield scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Bashley lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mangotsfield VS Bashley
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mangotsfield

(Home)
30 Aug
Mangotsfield
0 : 1
Banbury
23 Jul
Mangotsfield
1 : 0
Frome Town
09 Oct
Willand Rovers
2 : 1
Mangotsfield
04 Sept
Frome Town
1 : 0
Mangotsfield
17 Oct
Mangotsfield
1 : 2
Cinderford Town
Page 1 of 6

Bashley

(Away)
22 Jul
Sholing
1 : 1
Bashley
17 Sept
Bashley
0 : 4
Mousehole
07 Sept
Bashley
2 : 1
Mousehole
23 Jul
Bashley
1 : 6
Dorchester
23 Sept
Cribbs
4 : 3
Bashley
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blyth Spartans -
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Scarborough Athletic 0
Kendal 4
Workington -
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Whitby -
Ashton United -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Histon -
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Stratford -
Evesham 3
Chasetown 2
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Redditch -
Goole -
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Glossop North End 3
Spennymoor 4
Buxton -
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Frickley -
Witton Albion 4
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale -
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Hyde -
Stafford 3
Tividale 1
Leek Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
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Daventry 2
Coalville Town 3
Mossley AFC 1
Harrogate Railway 0
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Darlington FC -
Nantwich -
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Salford -
Belper Town 1
Market Drayton 0
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King’s Lynn -
Shaw Lane 3
New Mills 0
Prescot Cables 0
Farsley 4
Gresley 2
Romulus 1
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Matlock -
Leamington -
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Barwell -
Mickleover -
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Rushall -
Warrington Town 2
Ossett Town 1
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Brighouse Town -
Grantham Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine -
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Trafford 1
Sheffield FC 4
Newcastle Town 5
Spalding United 4
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
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Cambridge City -
Northwich Victoria 5
Lancaster 1
Clitheroe 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering -
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Rugby 2
St Ives Town 4
Colwyn Bay -
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Bamber Bridge 0
Burscough 2
Stourbridge -
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Halesowen -
Stamford -
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Soham 1
Carlton Town 3
Bideford -
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Farnborough -
Aylesbury Vale 3
Hythe 0
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Brentwood -
Neots -
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Bedworth United -
Hungerford -
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Yate 1
Banbury 3
Haringey Borough 2
Folkestone 1
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Dunstable Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Hitchin -
Thurrock 2
Guernsey FC 0
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Chatham -
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury United 1
Hanwell Town 1
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Whyteleafe 0
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Tonbridge -
North Leigh 4
Bishops Cleeve 2
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Cirencester -
Enfield Town -
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Carshalton 0
Leighton Town 2
Ramsgate 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Brightlingsea 2
Thamesmead 5
Tilbury 5
Barkingside 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Wingate & Finchley -
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Great Wakering 0
Royston Town 3
Leiston -
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Whitstable Town 2
Worthing FC 4
Redbridge 3
Arlesey 1
Three Bridges 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford -
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Potters 1
Northwood 2
Winchester City 3
Petersfield 1
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Weymouth -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Paulton Rovers -
Billericay -
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Chesham -
Taunton Town 4
Godalming Town 1
Burnham FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 3
Cray Wanderers 2
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Bognor Regis -
Molesey 5
Fleet Town 1
Bridgwater United 1
Didcot 3
Merstham -
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Ware 1
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd -
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Aveley 1
South Park 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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AFC Totton 0
Tiverton 2
Waltham Abbey 2
Dereham 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town -
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Grays -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Harrow Borough -
Staines -
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VCD Athletic -
Frome Town -
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Slimbridge 0
Egham Town 1
Romford 3
North Greenford Utd. 2
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Slough Town -
Lewes -
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Hampton & Richmond -
Hendon -
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Barton 4
Sudbury 5
Dorchester -
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Chippenham Town -
Leatherhead -
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Kingstonian -
Marlow 5
Wantage 2
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 3
Bashley 1
Cinderford Town 0
Shortwood 3
Mangotsfield 4
Canvey Island -
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Needham Market -
Hornchurch -
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Metropolitan Police -
Hastings 3
Wroxham 2
Uxbridge 1
Chipstead 2
Poole Town -
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Merthyr Town -
Bury Town 1
Faversham 0
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Kings Langley -
Herne Bay 4
FC Witham Town 2
Sittingbourne 0
Walton Casuals 1
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Semi-finals
Blyth Spartans 4
Kendal 0
Workington 0
Whitby 3
Ashton United 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Histon 1
Stratford 4
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Goole 3
Spennymoor 6
Buxton 2
Frickley 1
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale 4
Hyde 3
Stafford 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Coalville Town 0
Mossley AFC 2
Darlington FC 3
Nantwich 2
Salford 1
Belper Town 2
King’s Lynn 6
Shaw Lane 4
Farsley 3
Gresley 0
Matlock 2
Leamington 6
Barwell 1
Mickleover 0
Rushall 1
Warrington Town 2
Brighouse Town 0
Grantham Town 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine 1
Sheffield FC 0
Newcastle Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Cambridge City 0
Northwich Victoria 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering 1
St Ives Town 0
Colwyn Bay 0
Burscough 1
Stourbridge 2
Halesowen 1
Stamford 1
Carlton Town 2
Bideford 4
Farnborough 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Brentwood 3
Neots 2
Bedworth United 0
Hungerford 3
Banbury 0
Haringey Borough 3
Dunstable Town 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hitchin 3
Thurrock 3
Chatham 0
Heybridge 0
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Tonbridge 3
North Leigh 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 4
Leighton Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Royston Town 2
Leiston 3
Worthing FC 1
Redbridge 1
Corinthian-Casuals 4
Bedford 3
Northwood 1
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Billericay 0
Chesham 2
Taunton Town 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Molesey 1
Didcot 0
Merstham 2
Harlow 6
East Thurrock Utd 4
South Park 0
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Tiverton 3
Waltham Abbey 3
Chalfont St Peter 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Harrow Borough 0
Staines 1
VCD Athletic 2
Frome Town 2
Egham Town 1
Romford 0
Slough Town 4
Lewes 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hendon 0
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 2
Chippenham Town 1
Leatherhead 1
Kingstonian 5
Marlow 3
Larkhall 0
Bashley 1
Mangotsfield 6
Canvey Island 2
Needham Market 0
Hornchurch 2
Metropolitan Police 3
Hastings 2
Chipstead 1
Poole Town 0
Merthyr Town 1
Bury Town 2
Kings Langley 0
Herne Bay 4
Walton Casuals 3
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Final
Blyth Spartans 1
Whitby 0
Ashton United 2
Stratford 1
Evesham 1
Spennymoor 2
Buxton 5
Radcliffe 1
Skelmersdale 4
Lincoln Utd. 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Darlington FC 0
Nantwich 5
King’s Lynn 1
Shaw Lane 1
Matlock 2
Leamington 3
Rushall 2
Warrington Town 3
Basford Utd. 0
Marine 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 3
Stocksbridge 4
Kettering 0
Burscough 3
Stourbridge 2
Carlton Town 0
Bideford 3
Brentwood 2
Neots 1
Hungerford 2
Haringey Borough 1
Hitchin 4
Thurrock 3
Cheshunt 1
Tonbridge 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 0
Thamesmead 2
Tilbury 4
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford 1
Weymouth 4
Swindon Supermarine 2
Chesham 3
Taunton Town 1
Bognor Regis 4
Molesey 4
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Tiverton 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
VCD Athletic 0
Frome Town 2
Slough Town 1
Hampton & Richmond 3
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 3
Kingstonian 4
Marlow 1
Mangotsfield 0
Canvey Island 0
Metropolitan Police 2
Hastings 1
Merthyr Town 2
Bury Town 3
Herne Bay 2
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