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Manhattan vs Hudson Valley

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Manhattan and Hudson Valley finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Manhattan
35%
Draws
37%
Hudson Valley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hudson Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hudson Valley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Manhattan Clean Sheet 10%
Hudson Valley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manhattan Hudson Valley
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Manhattan
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 USL League Two
Manhattan vs Hudson Valley
3:3
Jun 11, 2025 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Manhattan
4:0
Jul 6, 2024 USL League Two
Manhattan vs Hudson Valley
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Manhattan
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manhattan 30 / 100
Hudson Valley 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manhattan Hudson Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manhattan found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Hudson Valley conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Manhattan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manhattan VS Hudson Valley
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Manhattan

(Home)
11 Jul
Ironbound SC
1 : 1
Manhattan
08 Jul
Manhattan
6 : 0
New Jersey Copa
02 Jul
Hudson Valley
1 : 1
Manhattan
20 Jun
Manhattan
3 : 3
Hudson Valley
16 Jun
Manhattan
0 : 4
Long Island
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Hudson Valley

(Away)
11 Jul
Hudson Valley
2 : 2
Cedar Stars Rush
07 Jul
Hudson Valley
0 : 5
Motown 2
02 Jul
Hudson Valley
1 : 1
Manhattan
27 Jun
Hudson Valley
4 : 3
Morris Elite
24 Jun
Westchester Flames
0 : 3
Hudson Valley
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