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Manila Digger vs United City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ngueukam A.
45' Event
Ngueukam A.
70' Event
Jatta S.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2024 game between Manila Digger and United City finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Manila Digger
20%
Draws
34%
United City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manila Digger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manila Digger come out ahead of United City on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Manila Digger Clean Sheet 20%
United City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manila Digger United City
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 20 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 3.6 3.22
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 3.29 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 PFL
Manila Digger vs United City
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manila Digger Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.53
Avg xA / game 1.65

United City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngueukam A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bini K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manila Digger 36 / 100
United City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manila Digger United City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manila Digger scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Manila Digger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

United City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 18 matches.

Scoring Trends

Manila Digger VS -
5.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manila Digger

(Home)
04 Oct
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Cebu FC
27 Sept
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Azkals
20 Sept
Stallion
0 : 3
Manila Digger
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
04 Sept
Manila Digger
5 : 1
Kasuka
Page 1 of 6

United City

(Away)
13 Jul
Maharlika Manila
2 : 9
United City
06 Jul
United City
2 : 2
Taguig
30 Jun
Loyola
0 : 6
United City
22 Jun
United City
3 : 0
Mendiola FC 1991
16 Jun
United City
0 : 0
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaya FC 14 13 1 0 82:5 40
2 Cebu FC 14 12 0 2 66:9 36
3 Stallion 14 10 2 2 65:12 32
4 Davao Aguilas 14 10 2 2 39:6 32
5 Taguig 14 9 4 1 69:14 31
6 United City 14 9 3 2 51:13 30
7 Manila Digger 14 8 0 6 35:25 24
8 Loyola 14 5 1 8 32:45 16
9 Maharlika Manila 14 5 1 8 23:53 16
10 Mendiola FC 1991 14 4 1 9 27:46 13
11 Don Bosco Garelli 14 4 0 10 15:85 12
12 Tuloy 14 3 0 11 28:52 9
13 Philippine Air Force 14 3 0 11 19:59 9
14 Philippine Army 14 2 1 11 15:42 7
15 Manila Montet 14 0 0 14 3:103 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Qualification)