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Manisa FK vs Erokspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manisa FK host Erokspor in the 1. Lig. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Manisa FK have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Erokspor's 1.57 scored and 0.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Manisa FK have won 0 to Erokspor's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.00, favoring Erokspor. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Manisa FK
35%
Draws
32%
Erokspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manisa FK come out ahead of Erokspor on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erokspor have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 20%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manisa FK Erokspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.54 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Manisa FK
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Erokspor
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Manisa FK
1:1
Oct 28, 2024 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Erokspor
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manisa FK 31 / 100
Erokspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manisa FK Erokspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manisa FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Manisa FK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Erokspor let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Erokspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manisa FK VS Erokspor
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manisa FK

(Home)
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
30 Aug
Manisa FK
0 : 0
Bodrumspor
Page 1 of 6

Erokspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)