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Manisa FK vs Muglaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa
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Match Events

29' Event
Yigit M.
51' Event
Fedai C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Muglaspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Manisa FK
35%
Draws
53%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Manisa FK's 1.54 goals per match outpaces what Muglaspor have produced (1.18).
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Muglaspor taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Muglaspor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 19%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manisa FK Muglaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.54 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Turkish Cup
Manisa FK vs Muglaspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manisa FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yigit M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fedai C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manisa FK 28 / 100
Muglaspor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manisa FK Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manisa FK scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Muglaspor conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Manisa FK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manisa FK VS Muglaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manisa FK

(Home)
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
30 Aug
Manisa FK
0 : 0
Bodrumspor
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru 7
Hakkari Zap 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Bitlis 1916 3
TBD -
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Rizespor -
Duzcespor -
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Pendikspor -
Corluspor -
TBD -
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Ayvalikgucu -
Silifke -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor 2
Kilis Bld. 1
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Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
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Etimesgut 0
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0
Trabzonspor -
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Kastamonuspor -
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Yozgat 1
Fatsa Bld. 2
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Vanspor FK -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Isparta 32 Spor 4
Kirsehir SK 0
Silivrispor -
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Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 3
Adanaspor AS 0
Kurtalanspor 1
Sanliurfaspor 4
Kestel Cilekspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Fethiyespor 2
Soke 1970 0
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 8
Sirnak 0
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Mazidagi -
Menemenspor -
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Bartinspor 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 3
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor -
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12 Bingol Spor 3
Mardin 1969 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Buyukcekmece Gucu 3
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Karacabey Bld. -
Malatya 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
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Adana 01 -
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Kocaelispor -
Kirklarelispor 1
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
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Beykoz Anadolu -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gemlikspor 0
Gaziantep -
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Ankaragucu 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3
Guzide Gebzespor 6
Bulvarspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 0
24Erzincanspor 1
Bulancakspor 2
Hopaspor 1
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Igdir FK -
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Orduspor 1967 -
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Erbaaspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
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Pazarspor -
Sakaryaspor -
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Kucukcekmece -
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Inegolspor 2
Ezinespor 0
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
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Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Giresunspor 7
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52 Orduspor -
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Sariyer -
Boluspor -
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Kahta 2
Iskenderunspor 1
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Adanademirspor -
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Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
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Agri 1970 -
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Batman Petrolspor -
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F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
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Edirnespor Genclik 0
Soma Spor 3
1926 Polatli Belediye 1
Cankaya FK 2
Amasyaspor -
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Trabzon FK 4
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Karaman FK 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1
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Umraniyespor -
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Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
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Kutahyaspor -
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Altinordu -
Karsiyaka -
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Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Altay 0
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Alanyaspor -
Bucak Belediyesi 1
Kepez Bld. 2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2
Nazillispor 0
Sivasspor -
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Cayeli SK 1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2
Bornova 1877 3
Afyonspor 0
Aliaga 2
Inegol Kafkas 1
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Serik Spor -
Hatayspor -
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Erciyes 38 2
Turk Metal 1963 0
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Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Nigde 2
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Aksaray Bld. -
Kirikkale FK -
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Manisa FK -
Ankaraspor 1
Eskisehirspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Muglaspor 3
1074 Cankirispor 0
Ankara Demirspor 3
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
Tire 2021 FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Quarter-finals
Karakopru 2
Bitlis 1916 1
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor 3
Pendikspor 4
Corluspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Silifke 7
K. Istklalspor 1
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 2
Trabzonspor -
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Kastamonuspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 4
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Vanspor FK -
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Silivrispor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Kestel Cilekspor 0
Fethiyespor 1
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 5
Mazidagi 0
Menemenspor 2
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor 2
12 Bingol Spor 3
Buyukcekmece Gucu 0
Karacabey Bld. 2
Malatya 3
Adana 01 2
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Kocaelispor -
Galata Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 5
Balikesirspor 1
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Guzide Gebzespor 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Bulancakspor 2
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Pazarspor 0
Sakaryaspor -
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Kucukcekmece 1
Inegolspor 3
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
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Giresunspor 1
52 Orduspor 2
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Sariyer -
Boluspor -
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Kahta 2
Adanademirspor 1
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Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Agri 1970 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
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F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
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Soma Spor 1
Cankaya FK 3
Amasyaspor 0
Trabzon FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Karaman FK 0
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Umraniyespor -
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Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Karsiyaka 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Kepez Bld. 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Sivasspor 2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1
Bornova 1877 0
Aliaga 6
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor 2
Erciyes 38 3
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Nigde 3
Aksaray Bld. 1
Kirikkale FK 0
Manisa FK 2
Eskisehirspor 0
Muglaspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 3
Tire 2021 FK 0
Bodrumspor 1
Semi-finals
Karakopru 0
Rizespor 3
Pendikspor 3
Corluspor 2
Silifke 3
Amedspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Bursaspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 3
Vanspor FK 4
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 0
Fethiyespor 3
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 1
Menemenspor 0
Konyaspor 4
12 Bingol Spor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Malatya 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Beykoz Anadolu 1
Yesil Yalova FK 3
Gaziantep 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bulancakspor 1
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 4
Erbaaspor 2
Sakaryaspor 4
Inegolspor 0
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 0
Sariyer 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
Kahta 3
Kasimpasa 1
Erokspor 3
Agri 1970 0
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 2
Trabzon FK 0
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Umraniyespor 0
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK 3
Kutahyaspor 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
Alanyaspor 2
Kepez Bld. 1
Sivasspor 3
Aliaga 4
Serik Spor 3
Erciyes 38 2
Keciorengucu 5
Kayserispor 1
Nigde 0
Manisa FK 0
Muglaspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Bodrumspor 5
Final
Rizespor 6
Pendikspor 1
Silifke 0
Antalyaspor 1
Trabzonspor 2
Vanspor FK 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Goztepe 0
Fethiyespor 4
Bandirmaspor 1
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 4
Karacabey Bld. 1
Kocaelispor 2
Yesil Yalova FK 0
Gaziantep 2
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 2
Sakaryaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 5
Istanbulspor AS 6
Sariyer 0
Boluspor 2
Kahta 1
Erokspor 2
F. Karagumruk 5
Eyupspor 6
Cankaya FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Erzurumspor FK 3
Corum FK 0
Alanyaspor 5
Sivasspor 1
Aliaga 3
Keciorengucu 2
Kayserispor 0
Muglaspor 1
Bodrumspor 2