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Manisa FK vs Muglaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manisa FK host Muglaspor in the 1. Lig. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Muglaspor have shipped 0.64 goals a game lately, while Manisa FK have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.54. Head-to-head, Manisa FK have won 0 to Muglaspor's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Muglaspor to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Manisa FK
35%
Draws
57%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Manisa FK's 1.54 goals per match outpaces what Muglaspor have produced (1.14).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 17%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manisa FK Muglaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.54 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Turkish Cup
Manisa FK vs Muglaspor
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manisa FK 36 / 100
Muglaspor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manisa FK Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Manisa FK scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Muglaspor conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Manisa FK remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manisa FK VS Muglaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manisa FK

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
11 Oct
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Muglaspor
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)