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Manlleu AEC vs Gramenet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Manlleu AEC in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manlleu AEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manlleu AEC
15%
Draws
34%
Gramenet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manlleu AEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manlleu AEC lately — more wins on the board than Gramenet.
  • Win probability leans Manlleu AEC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Manlleu AEC Clean Sheet 19%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manlleu AEC Gramenet
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 12 4
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.37 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Manlleu AEC
3:1
Dec 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Gramenet
2:0
May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Gramenet
1:0
Jan 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Manlleu AEC
0:0
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Manlleu AEC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manlleu AEC 85 / 100
Gramenet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manlleu AEC Gramenet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manlleu AEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramenet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Manlleu AEC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Manlleu AEC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manlleu AEC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manlleu AEC

(Home)
14 May
Manlleu AEC
4 : 3
Olot
07 May
FC Vilafranca
2 : 0
Manlleu AEC
30 Apr
Manlleu AEC
3 : 1
Peralada
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
13 Apr
Manlleu AEC
2 : 1
Sabadell B
Page 1 of 7

Gramenet

(Away)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 7 7 66:29 79
2 Cornella 38 23 10 5 70:35 79
3 CE Europa 38 21 12 5 55:25 75
4 Manlleu AEC 38 17 14 7 46:29 65
5 UE Figueres 38 16 11 11 52:45 59
6 Terrassa 38 15 12 11 47:36 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 49:50 52
8 UE Rapitenca 38 12 16 10 46:39 52
9 Gramenet 38 10 19 9 34:33 49
10 Gava 38 13 9 16 38:42 48
11 UE Rubi 38 11 14 13 58:52 47
12 Palamos CF 38 11 13 14 48:55 46
13 UE Castelldefels 38 11 12 15 31:45 45
14 Vilassar de Mar 38 11 11 16 44:47 44
15 Santboia 38 9 15 14 41:47 42
16 FC Vilafranca 38 11 9 18 35:53 42
17 Montanesa 38 8 16 14 32:49 40
18 Jupiter 38 9 10 19 41:59 37
19 UE Vic 38 8 12 18 40:61 36
20 Balaguer 38 4 12 22 35:77 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)