Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manly Utd vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Nieuwenhof L.
66' Event
Piriz J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Manly Utd and St George Saints finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manly Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Manly Utd
22%
Draws
18%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Manly Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Manly Utd a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 20%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manly Utd St George Saints
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs St George Saints
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Manly Utd
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Manly Utd
1:2
May 16, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs St George Saints
0:0
May 25, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Manly Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieuwenhof L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piriz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 58 / 100
St George Saints 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manly Utd St George Saints

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Manly Utd remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Manly Utd scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

St George Saints let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Manly Utd VS St George Saints
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918