Sport Picks
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
Australia
NPL NSW Cromer Park, Sydney 
Match Events
59'
59'
Olsen N.
(Penalty)
81'
81'
Burgess D.
84'
84'
Kimura A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Manly Utd and Sutherland Sharks finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manly Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manly Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sutherland Sharks come out ahead of Manly Utd on wins alone.
- Manly Utd are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 18%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manly Utd | Sutherland Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
1:2
Jul 11, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
3:0
May 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manly Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Burgess D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kimura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sutherland Sharks Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manly Utd 58 / 100
Sutherland Sharks 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manly Utd Sutherland Sharks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutherland Sharks has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Manly Utd scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Manly Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Manly Utd VS Sutherland Sharks
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Manly Utd
(Home) 06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1 Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2 Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
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15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1 Marconi Stallions
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0 Sydney Olympic
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0 SD Raiders
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Sutherland Sharks
(Away) 02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
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16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Sutherland Sharks
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
27 Jun
UNSW
1 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
20 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
