Sport Picks

Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park

Sutherland Sharks

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manly Utd host Sutherland Sharks in the NPL NSW. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Manly Utd at 1 goals for, 0.88 against; Sutherland Sharks at 1.63 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Manly Utd have won 2 to Sutherland Sharks's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.25) back Sutherland Sharks to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Manly Utd

33%

Draws

40%

Sutherland Sharks

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sutherland Sharks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sutherland Sharks come out ahead of Manly Utd on wins alone.
Sutherland Sharks are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Manly Utd Clean Sheet 19%

Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Manly Utd	Sutherland Sharks
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	14
Draws	8	2
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NPL NSW

Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

May 31, 2025 NPL NSW

Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Feb 14, 2025 NPL NSW

Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Jul 26, 2024 NPL NSW

Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Apr 20, 2024 NPL NSW

Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 28 / 100

Sutherland Sharks 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Manly Utd Sutherland Sharks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Manly Utd scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Sutherland Sharks let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Manly Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manly Utd VS Sutherland Sharks

1 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	22	16	4	2	42:14	52
2	APIA Leichhardt	22	15	3	4	45:26	48
3	Sydney Utd	22	14	3	5	33:17	45
4	Rockdale Ilinden	22	11	3	8	36:31	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	22	11	2	9	35:28	35
6	Sydney FC U23	22	10	4	8	31:32	34
7	Wollongong	22	9	5	8	24:26	32
8	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	22	8	5	9	42:31	29
9	NWS Spirit	22	8	4	10	24:26	28
10	Manly Utd	22	7	6	9	23:28	27
11	SD Raiders	22	7	5	10	29:36	26
12	UNSW	22	7	4	11	30:35	25
13	St. George City	22	6	7	9	22:35	25
14	Blacktown City	22	4	7	11	27:38	19
15	St George Saints	22	6	1	15	21:36	19
16	Sydney Olympic	22	4	3	15	22:47	15